Beach forecasts are updated weekly on Thursdays prior to an upcoming weekend throughout the summer months, from Memorial Day through Labor Day (seasonal)
Marine Forecast Discussion
Forecast: A trough begins to pull away from the region today, leading to an increase in temperatures on Friday. Temperatures will remain on the warmer side of average this weekend and early next week. A weak cold front crosses the region Saturday night, and a stray shower or t-storm will be possible late Saturday or Saturday evening ahead of it. Partly cloudy skies follow for Sunday and Monday, then a late day t-storm will be possible as the remnants of a subtropical depression/storm passes by to our SE. Coastal areas could see some showers in association with this feature Monday night. A stronger cold front crosses the region Tuesday night on the lead of the next trough, which will likely be preceded by scattered showers and t-storms late Tuesday and Tuesday evening. Back to mostly sunny skies on Wednesday with cooler temps and lower humidity.
Tropical concerns: We are monitoring a disturbance near the Bay of Campeche, which is expected to move northward toward the northern Gulf coast in the next 48 hours. This could be designated a subtropical depression or subtropical storm Claudette prior to landfall. The remnant rain may pass close by to our SE on Monday night, and may be close enough to provide fringe showers overnight.
Marine: Seas are currently around 2-3 feet with a southeasterly swell, and a dominant wave period of 7-9 seconds. Sea surface temperatures are continuing to increase in line with climatological norms for this time of year, and will reach the lower 70s in some locales in the upcoming week. A weak cold front in the vicinity Saturday will increase wave heights overnight Friday night and Saturday, and then subside to 3-4 feet on Sunday and Monday. A subtropical system passing to our SE increases wave heights to 3-5 feet Monday night, followed by another cold front that maintains those 3-5 feet wave heights on Tuesday. The presence of thunderstorms can provide rapidly changing and deteriorating boat and beach conditions. Please follow the National Weather Service statements for any marine advisories that are issued for thunderstorm activity, coastal flooding, and rough seas. During this forecast period, the best chance for thunderstorms to occur is late Saturday and Saturday night, and more notably in the late day and evening period on Tuesday.
Forecaster: Meteorologist Jim Rinaldi
Last updated: Thursday June 17th, 2021 10:50 AM
EPAWA beach forecasts are a seasonal product, and are updated every Thursday prior to a weekend during the Summer months, between Memorial Day and Labor Day weekend. Next scheduled update to this forecast is scheduled for Thursday June 24th.
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