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Northern NJ Forecast

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Our northern NJ forecast region includes Bridgewater, Newark, Morristown, Sussex, Passaic, Union, Paterson & all surrounding areas. Forecasts are updated daily M-F, and Saturday that covers both weekend days – never on Sundays.

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Mostly cloudy today with spotty drizzle, perhaps a steadier rain toward evening.  Then rain overspreads the area overnight as one area of low pressure moves into the Tennessee Valley and a weak secondary forms somewhere between northern NC and the DelMarVa peninsula. I think the heaviest rain stays to our south as an area of high pressure to the north causes the atmosphere to dry out some.

Rain continues into Saturday morning.  We can have intermittent showers or some drizzle the rest of Saturday, but between the aforementioned high and the split between the two lows with compensating subsidence between them, we may well not see much rain after the morning hours.  Its a very tricky call, though.

Saturday night and Sunday the coastal low moves away and the low from the Tennessee Valley moves into the eastern Ohio Valley.  This will bring an increase in shower activity once again. However, as the high pressure moves to the northeast of us we could be setting up a cold-air damming (CAD) situation and we will have to monitor this for the potential of pockets of freezing rain or sleet Saturday night into Sunday for the extreme NW corner of the coverage area.

Later Sunday and Sunday night low pressure re-forms off the coast. There are a couple of models, namely the NAM and UKMET that suggest a Norlun, or inverted trough could continue precipitation into early Monday. With the entire column cooling, that could fall in the form of snow and models do hint at accumulation, mainly north of I-80 A lot of things have to go right. But the European hinted at this the other day and now some other models are picking up on it.  I don’t have high confidence in it, but its definitely worth mentioning.

Whatever happens with that system, high pressure brings a cold day Tuesday despite abundant sunshine.  Then sunny to partly cloudy and seasonable for Wednesday and Thursday.

What warm up?

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Forecaster: Carmella 14 December 0240Z

Daily Climatology for Newark, NJ

Average Temp:Record Temp:
High:4467 (2015)
Low:3011 (2005)

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